Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:14:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x870c…6292
other · 1399 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$24 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1390 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1393 / 1399
History coverage89d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day15.8
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 6 History 1393 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$2
14 days+$4
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) 9z 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-12.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+12.5) Aurora Gaming 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 195 (High)? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Jacob Shaffelburg: 1+ goals No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Exact Score: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 2 - 2 Drogheda United FC? No 100¢ 90¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-10%)
Will "Lawmen: Bass Reeves" be the top global Netflix show this week? No 97¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Vagramov vs. Miroshnichenko: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-5.5) vs Team Heretics (+5.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will Esteban Ocon achieve the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: FathUnionSport 3 - 0 Maghreb AS de Fès? Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Set 2 Winner: Cordoba vs Maksimovic Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Ares (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Flores vs. Mosejczuk: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: BTR (-2.5) vs Team Liquid ID (+2.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Panshina vs. Saito: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Sornlaksup vs. Chanta: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Oh Hyeongyu: 2+ Goals Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Billy Cook: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Obed Vargas: 1+ shots Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Roberto Alvarado: 1+ assists Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Luis Romo: 1+ goals Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5) Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Bebop (-6.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+6.5) Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Petak vs. Siniakov: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
St. Louis Cardinals winning after 5 innings? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Sobolieva vs. Pastikova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Kazionova vs. Ristic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Ferra vs. Becroft: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-6.5) vs Lazer Cats (+6.5) Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Milushev vs. Chopra: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Arifullina vs. Ha: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Vozniak vs. Shinikova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $4 $0 +0%
Prisacariu vs. Peer: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Carlos Cortes: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Jose Siri: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $4 $0 +0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5) Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: illwill (-12.5) vs G2 Ares (+12.5) Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Will "Friend" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Po Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Kudernatsch vs. Lakshmanan: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $4 $0 +0%
GIF Sundsvall leading at halftime? Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5) Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Zhenikhova vs. Schuknecht: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 10 $4 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Ares (-9.5) vs Young Ninjas (+9.5) Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Will Starmer say "Public School" during the next Prime Minister's Ques Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Havermans vs. Heide: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Cooper vs. Kumar: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Sramkova vs. Primorac: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 10 $4 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Kravchenko (-1.5) vs Cizek (+1.5) Jun 10 $4 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% +$10
sports 47% +$3
weather 1% +$10
world 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
politics 1% $0
finance 1% +$1
tech 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Jacob Shaffelburg: 1+ goals BUY No 100¢ $5 9m
Exact Score: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 2 - 2 Drogheda United FC? BUY No 100¢ $5 32m
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 195 ( BUY No 100¢ $5 49m
Vagramov vs. Miroshnichenko: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 1h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) BUY 9z 100¢ $5 1h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-12.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+12.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 99¢ $5 1h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-5.5) vs Team Heretics (+5.5) BUY Team Vitality 100¢ $5 3h
Exact Score: FathUnionSport 3 - 0 Maghreb AS de Fès? BUY No 100¢ $4 4h
Will Esteban Ocon achieve the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 BUY No 100¢ $5 4h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 7h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC - Game 3 Winner BUY ONIC 100¢ $5 7h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) BUY G2 98¢ $5 8h
Set 2 Winner: Cordoba vs Maksimovic BUY Cordoba 99¢ $5 9h
Flores vs. Mosejczuk: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 10h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Ares (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5) BUY ex-RUBY 100¢ $5 11h
Game Handicap: BTR (-2.5) vs Team Liquid ID (+2.5) BUY Bigetron by Vitality 100¢ $5 12h
Panshina vs. Saito: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $4 14h
Sornlaksup vs. Chanta: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 14h
Oh Hyeongyu: 2+ Goals BUY No 100¢ $5 17h
Billy Cook: Home Runs O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 19h
Obed Vargas: 1+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 22h
Roberto Alvarado: 1+ assists BUY Yes 100¢ $5 23h
Luis Romo: 1+ goals BUY No 100¢ $5 23h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5) BUY KOLESIE 100¢ $5 26h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Bebop (-6.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+6.5) BUY Oxuji Esports 100¢ $5 28h
Petak vs. Siniakov: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 31h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 31h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 32h
Sobolieva vs. Pastikova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 32h
Kazionova vs. Ristic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 133 +0.3% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 521 +0.3% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 1393 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 1% -9.2%
all 1393 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 1% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 1% -9.2%
10% -17.9% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.65 · official $27.66 (match) · 3111 history records