Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T15:03:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
86 0x86fb…c370 crypto 887 markets active 0h ago coverage 33d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 33d only
✗ bot/MM pace (90 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$969 (-4%) realized −$969 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate59%588W / 403L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$31per market
Trades / day90.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$622
7 days−$561
14 days−$761
30 days−$1,163
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$767
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (90 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 379 -13.9% -22.1% 64% 2% -15.9%
≤30d 962 -13.8% -22.0% 59% 12% -13.8%
≤90d 991 -13.7% -21.9% 59% 12% -14.0%
all 991 -13.7% -21.9% 59% 12% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover90.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.9% 12% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -29.4% 9% -22.3%
15% -36.2% 5% -29.8%
20% -42.5% 4% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
79% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$6 · ×0.3 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.44 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

33d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$969
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses588 / 403
Open positions0
Markets (closed)991 / 887
History coverage33d ⚠
Avg bet$31
Trades / day90.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 991 Trades
no open positions (183 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $210 −$210 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $0 +$40 +68208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$2 -154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $20 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $25 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $17 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $70 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $67 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $70 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $69 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $57 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $70 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $70 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $69 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records