Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:46:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

86
0x86e7…3751
crypto · 540 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$214 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$214 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$214
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses226 / 314
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)540 / 540
History coverage104d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day27.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 540 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$135
14 days−$4,342
30 days−$2,527
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $56 +$48 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$26 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$4 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 07 $19 −$10 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 07 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 07 $20 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 07 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 07 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 07 $26 −$24 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$8 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 07 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 06 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 06 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 06 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 06 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 06 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 06 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 06 $13 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 06 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 03 $7 −$7 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 01 $75 −$60 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 01 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 01 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 01 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 01 $16 −$16 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$397
sports 3% +$184
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -51.4% -56.0% 25% 25% -46.9%
≤30d 287 -27.0% -34.0% 33% 33% -32.0%
≤90d 512 -8.3% -17.1% 41% 40% -11.2%
all 540 -5.5% -14.5% 42% 41% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 41% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 40% -18.9%
15% -30.1% 39% -26.8%
20% -37.0% 37% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records