Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

86
0x86dc…49c6
sports · 6 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$24 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27 · open −$61
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Chart Positions 2 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$27
14 days+$27
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 31¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 24¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $35 +$21 +60%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $17 +$2 +13%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $6 +$2 +33%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $21 +$2 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 28¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 28¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 29¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 29¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 30¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 30¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 28¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 23¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 23¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 23¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 23¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 23¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 16¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 16¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 16¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 81¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 81¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 82¢ $3 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 82¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 83¢ $3 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 79¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 78¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 77¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 77¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 77¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 77¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 77¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 77¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 77¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 77¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +28.9% +16.7% 100% 75% +21.6%
≤30d 4 +28.9% +16.7% 100% 75% +21.6%
≤90d 4 +28.9% +16.7% 100% 75% +21.6%
all 4 +28.9% +16.7% 100% 75% +21.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover267.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +16.7% 75% +21.6%
10% ← realistic here +5.5% 50% +10.0%
15% -4.7% 25% -0.6%
20% -14.0% 25% -10.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.11 · official $0.11 (match) · 271 history records