trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 25% | 0% | -8.4% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 25% | 0% | -8.4% |
| all | 28 | +2.3% | -7.5% | 39% | 7% | -7.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.5% | 7% | -7.7% |
| 10% | -16.3% | 4% | -16.5% |
| 15% | -24.4% | 4% | -24.6% |
| 20% | -31.8% | 4% | -32.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $54 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 23 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $54 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 15 | $49 | −$1 | -2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 15 | $43 | +$4 | +8% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $30 | +$1 | +4% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $34 | +$3 | +7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 12 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 11 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 10 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31? | Dec 25 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03? | Dec 11 | $38 | −$8 | -20% |
| Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30? | Dec 11 | $26 | +$16 | +64% |
| Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Nov 19 | $35 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 14 | $7 | −$1 | -10% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Nov 14 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 23 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 23 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Oct 11 | $4 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? | Aug 28 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Aug 25 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Aug 24 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Aug 23 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Aug 23 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Aug 23 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025? | Aug 23 | $39 | $0 | +0% |