trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +81.6% | +64.3% | 39% | 39% | -0.5% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +81.6% | +64.3% | 39% | 39% | -0.5% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +81.6% | +64.3% | 39% | 39% | -0.5% |
| all | 23 | +81.6% | +64.3% | 39% | 39% | -0.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +64.3% | 39% | -0.5% |
| 10% | +48.6% | 39% | -10.0% |
| 15% | +34.2% | 39% | -18.7% |
| 20% | +21.1% | 39% | -26.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 11¢ | 14¢ | $1,503 | $1,967 | +$464 (+31%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 70¢ | 70¢ | $100 | $101 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 50¢ | 16¢ | $100 | $31 | −$69 (-69%) |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Yes | 31¢ | 24¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-24%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $43 | +$148 | +344% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $61 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $202 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $693 | +$307 | +44% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $308 | +$167 | +54% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $92 | −$90 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $122 | +$89 | +73% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $102 | −$30 | -30% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $52 | −$51 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $61 | −$19 | -31% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $152 | +$102 | +67% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $72 | −$30 | -41% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $15 | +$36 | +238% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $46 | −$45 | -99% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$4 | -73% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$4 | -43% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $101 | +$65 | +65% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $41 | +$38 | +93% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $34 | −$33 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$10 | +188% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |