Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:09:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

86
0x86b6…5d08
crypto · 78 markets active 0h ago
7.0score
+$17 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses45 / 33
Open positions0
Markets (closed)78 / 78
History coverage153d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 78 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$38
7 days+$38
14 days+$38
30 days+$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+1.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 +14.8% +3.9% 58% 58% +21.2%
≤30d 60 +14.8% +3.9% 58% 58% +21.2%
≤90d 60 +14.8% +3.9% 58% 58% +21.2%
all 78 +12.4% +1.7% 58% 58% -1.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.7% 58% -1.6%
10% -8.0% 58% -11.0%
15% -16.9% 56% -19.6%
20% -25.0% 56% -27.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 169 history records