Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:57:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

86
0x86a6…7be7
crypto · 63 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$42 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$73
Realized−$28
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses33 / 22
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions7
Markets (closed)55 / 63
History coverage8d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day24.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 7 History 55 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$11
14 days−$28
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-16%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 47¢ 19¢ $20 $8 −$12 (-60%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 64¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 28¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 67¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -49%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $7 +$8 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$5 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$8 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $31 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$8 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$6 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +41%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% +$9
other 15% +$2
sports 11% −$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-1 BUY 53¢ $10 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -1.7% -11.0% 62% 43% -11.6%
≤30d 55 -5.3% -14.3% 60% 42% -14.5%
≤90d 55 -5.3% -14.3% 60% 42% -14.5%
all 55 -5.3% -14.3% 60% 42% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 42% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 40% -22.7%
15% -30.0% 24% -30.2%
20% -36.8% 9% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $72.55 · official $82.55 · 250 history records