Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

86
0x867a…49e6
crypto · 37 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$141 +31%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$141 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized+$141
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses28 / 8
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)36 / 37
History coverage1d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day93.3
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$141
7 days+$141
14 days+$141
30 days+$141
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 87¢ 90¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+4%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
South Africa to score first vs. Mexico? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Yes 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$9 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$9 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$44 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$10 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$147 +4579%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
South Africa to score first vs. Mexico? Jun 11 $15 −$15 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% +$176
sports 8% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)+40.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +55.2% +40.4% 78% 47% +2.3%
≤30d 36 +55.2% +40.4% 78% 47% +2.3%
≤90d 36 +55.2% +40.4% 78% 47% +2.3%
all 36 +55.2% +40.4% 78% 47% +2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover93.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +40.4% 47% +2.3%
10% ← realistic here +27.0% 22% -7.5%
15% +14.7% 17% -16.4%
20% +3.5% 8% -24.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.72 · official $10.65 · 126 history records