Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:14:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

86
0x8665…c938
crypto · 22 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$77 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$61 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$61
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses7 / 15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)22 / 22
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day35.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 22 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$60
14 days−$60
30 days−$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $78 +$34 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$6 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $63 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$61
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $112 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $66 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $11 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-47.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -41.6% -47.1% 32% 27% -27.3%
≤30d 22 -41.6% -47.1% 32% 27% -27.3%
≤90d 22 -41.6% -47.1% 32% 27% -27.3%
all 22 -41.6% -47.1% 32% 27% -27.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -47.1% 27% -27.3%
10% ← realistic here -52.2% 27% -34.2%
15% -56.8% 27% -40.6%
20% -61.0% 23% -46.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 41 history records