Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T17:17:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
86 0x865f…3558 crypto 320 markets active 2h ago coverage 63d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$4,924 (+1%) realized +$4,924 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate99%318W / 2L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$1,345per market
Trades / day32.6pace
Kalshi-fit82%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$80
7 days+$806
14 days+$1,414
30 days+$2,280
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% +$4,560
other 5% +$311
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +2.2% -7.6% 100% 2% -8.2%
≤30d 131 +1.6% -8.1% 99% 2% -8.3%
≤90d 320 +0.9% -8.7% 99% 1% -8.5%
all 320 +0.9% -8.7% 99% 1% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover32.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 1% -8.5%
10% -17.4% 1% -17.3%
15% ← realistic here -25.4% 0% -25.3%
20% -32.7% 0% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$2,530) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
6.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$0 · ×343.89 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×54679.07 per $1 lost it wins $54679.07
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

63d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4,924
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses318 / 2
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)320 / 320
History coverage63d
Avg bet$1,345
Trades / day32.6
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit82%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 320 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 19 $105 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $26 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 19 $245 +$2 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 19 $79 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 18 $36 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 18 $72 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $6,764 +$68 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 18 $125 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $44 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 18 $105 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 17 $593 +$6 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $145 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $190 +$9 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $172 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $906 +$9 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $75 +$7 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $211 +$72 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $126 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $3,680 +$37 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $6,674 +$7 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $171 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $1,518 +$14 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $149 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $109 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $404 +$7 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $6,523 +$66 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $893 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $570 +$7 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $162 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $249 +$10 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $170 +$5 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $471 +$8 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $89 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $77 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $139 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $2,898 +$92 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $787 +$12 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $86 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1,687 +$161 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $90 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $220 +$13 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $6,139 +$62 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $105 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $59 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $245 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $36 23h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $72 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6,764 28h
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $125 34h
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $44 35h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $105 37h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $22 41h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $593 42h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $145 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $190 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $172 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $906 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $75 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $211 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $126 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3,680 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $6,674 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $171 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,518 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $149 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $109 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $404 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6,523 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2408 history records