Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

86
0x865b…6958
crypto · 208 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$17 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses175 / 33
Open positions0
Markets (closed)208 / 208
Avg bet$12
Trades / day171.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 208 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$48
7 days+$17
14 days+$17
30 days+$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$9 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$8 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$8 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $14 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $13 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $45 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $36 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $39 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $35 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $13 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $12 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $13 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $13 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $15 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $13 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $12 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 208 -1.7% -11.1% 84% 67% -8.9%
≤30d 208 -1.7% -11.1% 84% 67% -8.9%
≤90d 208 -1.7% -11.1% 84% 67% -8.9%
all 208 -1.7% -11.1% 84% 67% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover171.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 67% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 13% -17.6%
15% -27.4% 2% -25.6%
20% -34.5% 2% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 451 history records