Wallet analysis

2026-06-30T03:27:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
86 0x8656…49e0 crypto 1666 markets active 1h ago coverage 32d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (92 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$9 (-0%) realized −$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR75%break-even
Win rate76%1266W / 400L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day91.8pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$37
14 days−$45
30 days−$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$66
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (92 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 345 -3.7% -12.9% 77% 77% -13.0%
≤30d 1460 -1.8% -11.2% 77% 77% -11.4%
≤90d 1666 -2.2% -11.5% 76% 75% -11.6%
all 1666 -2.2% -11.5% 76% 75% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover91.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 75% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 59% -20.1%
15% -27.7% 9% -27.8%
20% -34.8% 3% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.28 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1266 / 400
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1666 / 1666
History coverage32d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day91.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1666 Trades
no open positions (356 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 30 $4 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 30 $4 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 30 $3 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 30 $3 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 30 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 30 $4 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 30 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 30 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 30 $3 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 30 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 30 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 29 $4 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 29 $4 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 29 $4 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 29 $4 +$1 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 29 $4 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 29 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 29 $4 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 29 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 29 $4 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2989 history records