Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:22:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

86
0x8654…6bfe
sports · 588 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,082 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,024 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,024
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses549 / 39
Whale WR (big bets)89%
Est. fees paid−$731
Open positions0
Markets (closed)588 / 588
History coverage220d
Avg bet$1,013
Trades / day11.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 588 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,392
7 days−$5,048
14 days−$3,451
30 days−$2,129
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs STATE - Map 2 Winner STATE 88¢ 0¢ $2,105 $0 −$2,105 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $1,287 +$12 +1%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $204 +$2 +1%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $213 +$4 +2%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $495 +$4 +1%
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 14 $197 +$2 +1%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $648 +$6 +1%
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $3,998 −$3,050 -76%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $290 +$3 +1%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,623 +$14 +1%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $75 +$2 +2%
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $153 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $386 +$4 +1%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro Jun 14 $4,147 +$49 +1%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,055 +$43 +4%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $2,999 +$28 +1%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $81 +$2 +3%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $254 +$3 +1%
Counter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $339 +$5 +2%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $406 +$4 +1%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 13 $357 +$4 +1%
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $593 +$5 +1%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $521 +$5 +1%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $3,438 +$113 +3%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen (BO5) - UKIC Masters Divisi Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $427 +$6 +1%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 3 Winner Jun 13 $46 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs STATE - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $2,112 −$2,105 -100%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs STATE - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $96 +$4 +4%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5,930 +$64 +1%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $69 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $5,841 +$53 +1%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,973 +$55 +2%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Washed - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,131 +$30 +1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2,204 +$20 +1%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $580 +$5 +1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3,618 +$49 +1%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $4,851 +$44 +1%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $891 +$21 +2%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4,477 +$73 +2%
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs 6666 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $415 +$7 +2%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 13 $581 +$9 +2%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $68 +$3 +4%
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Gaming By Legends - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $136 +$2 +1%
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Noir Verse - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $761 +$7 +1%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5,191 +$193 +4%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $500 +$4 +1%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $125 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $120 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,266 +$79 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% −$4,822
other 5% +$1,662
weather 4% +$135
politics 0% −$1,000
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $1,299 6m
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK - Map 1 Winner SELL TDK 100¢ $206 7m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 99¢ $1,287 13m
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK - Map 1 Winner BUY TDK 99¢ $33 18m
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK - Map 1 Winner BUY TDK 99¢ $50 23m
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK - Map 1 Winner BUY TDK 99¢ $121 23m
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner SELL Infinite 100¢ $217 47m
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner BUY Infinite 98¢ $188 1h
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner BUY Infinite 98¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $499 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 99¢ $82 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 99¢ $14 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 99¢ $34 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 99¢ $27 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 99¢ $99 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 99¢ $13 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 99¢ $226 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs SELL Alliance 100¢ $199 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Alliance 99¢ $197 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $654 2h
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner SELL KOLESIE 18¢ $271 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 99¢ $485 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 99¢ $9 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 99¢ $9 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 99¢ $145 2h
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner SELL KOLESIE 21¢ $316 2h
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner SELL KOLESIE 36¢ $361 2h
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner BUY KOLESIE 99¢ $3,545 2h
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner BUY KOLESIE 99¢ $251 2h
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner BUY KOLESIE 98¢ $201 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 116 -0.9% -10.3% 96% 2% -11.6%
≤30d 483 +1.2% -8.5% 96% 2% -9.9%
≤90d 588 +1.9% -7.8% 93% 7% -10.1%
all 588 +1.9% -7.8% 93% 7% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.7 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.8% 7% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.6% 3% -18.7%
15% -24.7% 1% -26.6%
20% -32.1% 1% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2983 history records