Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

86
0x8652…1ccb
crypto · 561 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$458 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$456 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$58
Realized−$456
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses202 / 358
Open positions1
Markets (closed)560 / 561
History coverage2d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day1243.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 560 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$320
7 days−$456
14 days−$456
30 days−$456
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 57¢ 68¢ $29 $34 +$5 (+17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 36¢ 32¢ $27 $24 −$2 (-8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $89 +$36 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$11 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $84 +$16 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$8 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$48 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$10 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$16 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $88 +$37 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $74 −$24 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$7 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $68 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$49 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $192 −$17 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$10 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $159 −$34 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $192 −$42 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$50 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $71 +$54 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$41 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $68 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$18 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$19 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $95 +$30 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $186 −$36 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$18 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$16 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$23 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$61 +448%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$11 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $65 +$10 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$25 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $69 −$19 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$17 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$12 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$11 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$458
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $13 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $12 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $13 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $7 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $7 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $9 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $11 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $14 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $12 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $12 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-21.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 560 -13.5% -21.8% 36% 33% -11.1%
≤30d 560 -13.5% -21.8% 36% 33% -11.1%
≤90d 560 -13.5% -21.8% 36% 33% -11.1%
all 560 -13.5% -21.8% 36% 33% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1243.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.8% 33% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -29.3% 28% -19.6%
15% -36.1% 22% -27.4%
20% -42.4% 18% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $58.12 · official $58.12 (match) · 3500 history records