Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:05:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

86
0x8643…922a
crypto · 1227 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$390 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$176 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$176
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses752 / 475
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1227 / 1227
History coverage117d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day20.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1227 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$7
14 days+$8
30 days+$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$176
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +4.1% -5.8% 57% 57% -5.9%
≤30d 145 +4.0% -5.9% 57% 57% -5.7%
≤90d 380 -2.7% -12.0% 56% 51% -11.6%
all 1227 -6.5% -15.4% 61% 24% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.4% 24% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.5% 20% -21.2%
15% -30.9% 18% -28.8%
20% -37.7% 17% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records