trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -69.3% | -72.2% | 25% | 25% | -66.2% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -82.5% | -84.1% | 14% | 14% | -74.4% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -47.9% | -52.8% | 36% | 36% | -69.3% |
| all | 75 | -16.3% | -24.3% | 48% | 47% | -50.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.3% | 47% | -50.5% |
| 10% | -31.6% | 44% | -55.2% |
| 15% | -38.2% | 43% | -59.6% |
| 20% | -44.2% | 35% | -63.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | No | 40¢ | 40¢ | $323 | $319 | −$4 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $223 | −$219 | -98% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $281 | +$64 | +23% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $107 | −$104 | -97% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $321 | −$320 | -100% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $202 | −$197 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 10 | $86 | −$85 | -99% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 02 | $12 | −$12 | -99% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | May 17 | $14 | −$14 | -99% |
| Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-16? | May 10 | $7 | +$5 | +73% |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Apr 16 | $10 | +$5 | +52% |
| Lightning vs. Sabres | Apr 06 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Islanders | Mar 30 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26? | Mar 30 | $25 | +$11 | +45% |
| Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-03-14? | Mar 26 | $32 | +$12 | +37% |
| Oilers vs. Golden Knights | Mar 08 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Women's Final - USA vs. Canada | Feb 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - IstabuLAN | Feb 19 | $23 | $0 | -2% |
| Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group | Feb 19 | $37 | +$14 | +37% |
| Grizzlies vs. Pelicans | Feb 12 | $36 | +$30 | +82% |
| Pacers vs. 76ers | Jan 30 | $26 | +$12 | +45% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights | Jan 19 | $24 | +$19 | +79% |
| Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 11 | $47 | −$24 | -50% |
| Sabres vs. Kraken | Jan 10 | $11 | +$10 | +89% |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | Dec 10 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Chiefs vs. Cowboys | Nov 27 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Capitals | Nov 17 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Jets vs. Kraken | Nov 13 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Eagles vs. Packers | Nov 13 | $31 | +$31 | +100% |
| Celtics vs. Magic | Nov 07 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Ravens vs. Dolphins | Oct 30 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Magic | Oct 22 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Capitals vs. Rangers | Oct 22 | $17 | +$17 | +96% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | Oct 04 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Everton vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Sep 29 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Royals vs. Angels | Sep 29 | $11 | +$9 | +82% |
| Rice vs. Charlotte | Sep 25 | $13 | +$11 | +82% |
| Pirates vs. Orioles | Sep 11 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Orioles vs. Padres | Sep 11 | $9 | +$16 | +170% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31? | Sep 03 | $10 | +$15 | +144% |
| Nationals vs. Yankees | Aug 31 | $10 | +$5 | +47% |
| Astros vs. Tigers | Aug 25 | $11 | +$9 | +75% |
| Pirates vs. Brewers | Aug 11 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Phillies vs. Rangers | Aug 11 | $12 | +$8 | +70% |
| Padres vs. Nationals | Aug 10 | $14 | +$10 | +72% |
| Pirates vs. Rockies | Aug 02 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Pirates vs. Twins | Jul 18 | $9 | +$6 | +75% |
| Red Sox vs. Nationals | Jul 12 | $7 | +$6 | +96% |
| Padres vs. Reds | Jul 05 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Phillies vs. Marlins | Jul 05 | $8 | +$6 | +75% |
| Angels vs. Orioles | Jun 19 | $9 | +$6 | +70% |