trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | +2.2% | -7.5% | 56% | 50% | -8.1% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +61.9% | +46.5% | 48% | 40% | +37.9% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +61.9% | +46.5% | 48% | 40% | +37.9% |
| all | 25 | +61.9% | +46.5% | 48% | 40% | +37.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +46.5% | 40% | +37.9% |
| 10% | +32.4% | 40% | +24.7% |
| 15% | +19.6% | 32% | +12.6% |
| 20% | +7.9% | 20% | +1.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $7 | $8 | +$1 (+14%) |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Over | 68¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-99%) |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | Down | 36¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Yes | 66¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 | Over | 46¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-100%) |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | Down | 21¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +22% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +74% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $2 | +$1 | +38% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $4 | $0 | +8% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $4 | +$1 | +26% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $2 | +$1 | +39% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -75% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $4 | +$2 | +45% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $6 | +$5 | +87% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 | Jun 12 | $9 | −$2 | -28% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $2 | +$2 | +95% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$1 | -26% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $4 | +$2 | +41% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | May 29 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | May 29 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | May 29 | $2 | $0 | +7% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | May 29 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | May 29 | $2 | +$48 | +2243% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | May 29 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | May 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |