trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 67% | 0% | -11.3% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 67% | 0% | -11.3% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 67% | 0% | -11.3% |
| all | 27 | +10.4% | -0.1% | 56% | 4% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.1% | 4% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -9.7% | 4% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -18.4% | 4% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -26.4% | 4% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-2%) |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 93¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 15 | $70 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $6 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 13 | $58 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 12 | $40 | −$6 | -15% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 10 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30? | Jun 10 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 202 | Jun 06 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 06 | $6 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in May? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 Masters? | Apr 11 | $19 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 Masters? | Apr 11 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alexandre Sarr win NBA Rookie of the Year? | Apr 10 | $26 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jordan Spieth win The 2025 Masters? | Apr 10 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 09 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tom Kim win The 2025 Masters? | Apr 08 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 07 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Apr 07 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Apr 11? | Apr 07 | $20 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%? | Apr 07 | $22 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Bundesliga? | Apr 05 | $27 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Nathan MacKinnon win the Hart Trophy? | Apr 03 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sebastian-Constantin Popescu advance to the Romanian Presidential | Apr 03 | $1 | +$3 | +283% |
| Will Amazon buy TikTok? | Apr 03 | $23 | −$1 | -4% |