trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -69.2% | -72.2% | 0% | 0% | -67.2% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -55.2% | -59.4% | 18% | 9% | -57.8% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +14.9% | +3.9% | 23% | 15% | -15.4% |
| all | 13 | +14.9% | +3.9% | 23% | 15% | -15.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.9% | 15% | -15.4% |
| 10% | -6.0% | 15% | -23.5% |
| 15% | -15.1% | 8% | -30.9% |
| 20% | -23.4% | 8% | -37.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 14¢ | 42¢ | $88 | $260 | +$172 (+196%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$5 | -50% |
| Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$6 | -61% |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? | May 27 | $10 | +$3 | +34% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May? | May 27 | $6 | −$6 | -96% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | May 27 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 27 | $10 | −$9 | -90% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | May 27 | $5 | −$4 | -77% |
| Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? | May 27 | $5 | −$3 | -61% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | May 27 | $5 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31? | May 27 | $10 | −$2 | -23% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | May 11 | $5 | +$45 | +900% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | May 04 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |