Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:29:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

86
0x8623…66d4
crypto · 1301 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$317 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$317 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$317
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses815 / 524
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1339 / 1301
History coverage26d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day131.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1339 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$97
7 days−$162
14 days−$198
30 days−$318
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 73,800 on May 23, 4AM ET? No 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 8AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 73,800 on May 29, 1PM ET? No 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 11PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 4PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 8AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -700%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 78,800 on May 16, 1AM ET? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum above 2,250 on May 13, 12PM ET? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +30%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$270
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $4 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-22.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 289 -18.9% -26.6% 38% 20% -22.3%
≤30d 1339 -14.2% -22.4% 61% 30% -21.2%
≤90d 1339 -14.2% -22.4% 61% 30% -21.2%
all 1339 -14.2% -22.4% 61% 30% -21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover131.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.4% 30% -21.2%
10% ← realistic here -29.8% 9% -28.7%
15% -36.6% 5% -35.6%
20% -42.8% 3% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records