trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 37 | -21.4% | -28.9% | 19% | 19% | -11.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.9% | 19% | -11.2% |
| 10% | -35.7% | 19% | -19.7% |
| 15% | -41.9% | 19% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -47.6% | 19% | -34.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 15 | $450 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 15 | $1,000 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 15 | $1,330 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $470 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $690 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $700 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $390 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $560 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $910 | −$1 | -0% |
| Kings vs. Capitals | Nov 17 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Flyers vs. Predators | Nov 06 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Avalanche vs. Golden Knights | Nov 03 | $8 | +$8 | +89% |
| Delaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville State | Oct 15 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Jets vs. Islanders | Oct 12 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Astros vs. Angels | Oct 09 | $17 | +$22 | +127% |
| Royals vs. Angels | Sep 26 | $12 | +$12 | +96% |
| Rays vs. Orioles | Sep 25 | $12 | +$12 | +100% |
| Lions vs. Ravens | Sep 23 | $4 | +$9 | +212% |
| Cubs vs. Pirates | Sep 15 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Angels vs. Mariners | Sep 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Astros vs. Yankees | Aug 08 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Victoria Livschitz win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Champions | Aug 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Braves vs. Reds | Aug 01 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Tigers | Jul 29 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 12 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 07 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 10 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 09 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Hunor Kelemen win the Romanian presidential election? | Mar 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the New York Islanders win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | Feb 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. 76ers | Feb 05 | $114 | +$102 | +89% |
| Magic vs. Warriors | Feb 04 | $104 | −$104 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Pistons | Feb 03 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting? | Jan 31 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Bulls | Nov 26 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Nov 22 | $24 | +$24 | +100% |