Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:36:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

86
0x860c…d391
crypto · 265 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$40 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$40 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$40
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses86 / 179
Open positions0
Markets (closed)265 / 265
History coverage4d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day120.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 265 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$42
7 days−$40
14 days−$40
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +294%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 265 -1.5% -10.9% 32% 32% -15.8%
≤30d 265 -1.5% -10.9% 32% 32% -15.8%
≤90d 265 -1.5% -10.9% 32% 32% -15.8%
all 265 -1.5% -10.9% 32% 32% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover120.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 32% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 31% -23.8%
15% -27.2% 31% -31.2%
20% -34.3% 30% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 625 history records