Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:49:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

86
0x8609…a968
crypto · 1019 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$158 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$158 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$175
Realized−$158
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses596 / 422
Est. fees paid−$104
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1018 / 1019
History coverage28d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day51.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1018 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days+$211
14 days+$132
30 days−$158
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-24? Yes 92¢ 100¢ $20 $21 +$2 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 78¢ 100¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+92%)
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-24? No 97¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+78%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 57¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+75%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 69¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$45 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$35 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$16 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$22 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$18 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 57% +$124
sports 41% −$140
other 2% −$142
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $51 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $51 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $51 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 420 -0.9% -10.3% 56% 55% -6.4%
≤30d 1018 -1.8% -11.2% 59% 58% -10.3%
≤90d 1018 -1.8% -11.2% 59% 58% -10.3%
all 1018 -1.8% -11.2% 59% 58% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 58% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 46% -18.9%
15% -27.4% 35% -26.7%
20% -34.5% 24% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $175.14 · official $175.14 (match) · 2169 history records