Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:04:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
86 0x8604…222d crypto 1168 markets active 11h ago coverage 37d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 36d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (63 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$8,765 (-2%) realized −$8,765 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%1154W / 14L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$361per market
Trades / day63.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 37d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$135
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (63 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -1.0% -10.5% 98% 0% -11.9%
≤30d 1026 -0.2% -9.7% 99% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 1168 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -9.6%
all 1168 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover63.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$339 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$8,765
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1154 / 14
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1168 / 1168
History coverage37d ⚠
Avg bet$361
Trades / day63.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1168 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1PM ET Jun 16 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET Jun 16 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET Jun 16 $493 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET Jun 16 $500 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET Jun 16 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET Jun 16 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1PM ET Jun 15 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET Jun 15 $305 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4PM ET Jun 14 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET Jun 14 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $329 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $95 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $215 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $211 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $496 +$9 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $98 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $402 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $500 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $500 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $463 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $89 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $411 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $500 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $500 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $92 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $113 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records