Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:24:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x85ee…79a9
sports · 912 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$167 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$159 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$318
Realized−$159
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses493 / 400
Est. fees paid−$61
Open positions19
Markets (closed)893 / 912
History coverage64d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day20.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 19 History 893 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$126
7 days+$150
14 days+$66
30 days−$69
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 86¢ 86¢ $35 $35 +$0 (+1%)
Will Iran finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? No 77¢ 74¢ $35 $34 −$1 (-3%)
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? Yes 72¢ 71¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? No 73¢ 72¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-2%)
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 83¢ 81¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 40¢ 100¢ $10 $25 +$15 (+150%)
World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe Mbappe 78¢ 76¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Will England be the highest-scoring team in Group L during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 79¢ 76¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Will Julio Enciso score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 36¢ 32¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-10%)
Spread: United States (-2.5) United States 46¢ 80¢ $10 $17 +$7 (+73%)
Will Luis Díaz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 78¢ 78¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 66¢ 67¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 45¢ 44¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties? Yes 66¢ 56¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-16%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 67¢ 28¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-58%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Over 44¢ 10¢ $10 $2 −$8 (-77%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 56¢ 8¢ $10 $2 −$8 (-85%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 82¢ 26¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-68%)
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Mexico 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-09? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5) Leeds United FC 77¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-02? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5 Yes 53¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $10 −$2 -22%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $15 +$4 +24%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $12 +$3 +24%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $10 +$15 +149%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$37 +365%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$10 +97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $10 +$4 +40%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Algeria leading at halftime? Jun 11 $20 +$15 +76%
Spread: Algeria (-1.5) Jun 11 $20 +$21 +105%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $10 +$6 +57%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5 Jun 10 $102 −$100 -98%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $5 +$6 +124%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $11 +$4 +38%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 Jun 10 $10 +$13 +124%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $10 +$6 +57%
Hungary leading at halftime? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -99%
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: Draw at halftime? Jun 09 $140 −$9 -6%
Azerbaijan leading at halftime? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $12 −$12 -99%
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5 Jun 09 $30 +$27 +90%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 Jun 09 $101 +$74 +73%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $10 +$14 +134%
Spread: Atlético Nacional (-1.5) Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5 Jun 08 $51 −$50 -99%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 08 $1 +$1 +58%
Colombia leading at halftime? Jun 08 $10 +$6 +57%
Venezuela vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $10 +$10 +97%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $20 +$9 +46%
Scotland leading at halftime? Jun 06 $20 +$20 +97%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 06 $15 −$15 -98%
Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $10 +$4 +42%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 Jun 06 $51 +$51 +101%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $10 +$6 +60%
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $10 +$3 +26%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $10 +$3 +30%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 Jun 05 $51 −$50 -99%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 05 $20 −$20 -98%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $12 +$7 +57%
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $10 +$8 +83%
Spain leading at halftime? Jun 04 $12 −$12 -99%
Diana Shnaider vs. Maja Chwalinska: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $10 −$10 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $10 −$10 -99%
Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $10 +$6 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% −$82
other 31% −$81
crypto 2% −$11
world 1% +$6
culture 0% $0
politics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 38¢ $8 36m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY United States 46¢ $10 44m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $10 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 44¢ $10 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 56¢ $10 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 67¢ $10 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $10 1h
Will Julio Enciso score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 36¢ $20 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 80¢ $12 10h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 80¢ $15 21h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 52¢ $10 22h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 40¢ $10 22h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 21¢ $10 22h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 68¢ $10 26h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 52¢ $10 26h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 93¢ $15 26h
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) BUY Mexico 42¢ $10 29h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 50¢ $10 30h
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup BUY Yes 66¢ $10 33h
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 62¢ $10 33h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $10 33h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 33h
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5 BUY No 47¢ $102 2d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 63¢ $10 2d
Algeria leading at halftime? BUY Yes 56¢ $20 2d
Spread: Algeria (-1.5) BUY Algeria 48¢ $20 2d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 42¢ $10 3d
Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 86¢ $35 3d
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 83¢ $30 3d
Will Luis Díaz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 78¢ $15 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +36.4% +23.4% 72% 69% +6.4%
≤30d 219 -1.1% -10.5% 57% 52% -11.5%
≤90d 893 +3.2% -6.6% 55% 53% -12.0%
all 893 +3.2% -6.6% 55% 53% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.6% 53% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -15.6% 48% -20.5%
15% -23.7% 42% -28.1%
20% -31.2% 34% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $318.38 · official $318.38 (match) · 1920 history records