Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x85ee…e38f
crypto · 548 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$42 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$42 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses519 / 29
Open positions0
Markets (closed)548 / 548
History coverage18d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day31.8
Drawdown95%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 548 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days−$52
14 days+$30
30 days+$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$6 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$11 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $6 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $19 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 288 -0.4% -9.9% 93% 7% -10.4%
≤30d 548 +0.3% -9.3% 95% 7% -9.2%
≤90d 548 +0.3% -9.3% 95% 7% -9.2%
all 548 +0.3% -9.3% 95% 7% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 7% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 4% -17.9%
15% -25.9% 3% -25.8%
20% -33.2% 3% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1123 history records