Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:48:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
85 0x85ec…9ed0 crypto 1658 markets active 0h ago coverage 30d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 29d only
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$251 (+1%) realized +$251 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR7%break-even
Win rate98%1618W / 40L
Drawdown68%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day59.4pace
Kalshi-fit81%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days+$32
14 days+$140
30 days+$211
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 79% +$206
other 21% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 101 +0.9% -8.7% 99% 1% -9.0%
≤30d 1658 +1.0% -8.6% 98% 7% -9.1%
≤90d 1658 +1.0% -8.6% 98% 7% -9.1%
all 1658 +1.0% -8.6% 98% 7% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 7% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 2% -17.8%
15% -25.3% 1% -25.7%
20% -32.7% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$22 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.24 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$251
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1618 / 40
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1658 / 1658
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$26
Trades / day59.4
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit81%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1658 Trades
no open positions (37 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $98 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $96 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $32 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $98 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $98 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $85 +$15 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $73 −$72 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $96 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $49 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $45 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $47 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $96 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $32 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $83 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $85 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $73 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $96 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records