trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | +25.5% | +13.5% | 37% | 37% | -0.8% |
| ≤30d | 27 | +10.6% | +0.1% | 33% | 33% | -17.3% |
| ≤90d | 27 | +10.6% | +0.1% | 33% | 33% | -17.3% |
| all | 27 | +10.6% | +0.1% | 33% | 33% | -17.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.1% | 33% | -17.3% |
| 10% | -9.5% | 33% | -25.2% |
| 15% | -18.3% | 33% | -32.4% |
| 20% | -26.3% | 30% | -39.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $60 | $59 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 22¢ | $60 | $59 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $60 | $56 | −$4 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $52 | −$25 | -47% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $51 | +$199 | +388% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 21 | $51 | +$45 | +90% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $61 | −$60 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $101 | +$58 | +57% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $107 | +$45 | +42% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $56 | +$249 | +442% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $103 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$164 | +321% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$149 | +291% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $61 | +$153 | +249% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $56 | −$55 | -98% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $101 | +$60 | +59% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $101 | −$99 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $51 | −$4 | -8% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $201 | −$200 | -99% |