Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:50:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x85d6…d779
other · 249 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$88 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$88 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$88
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses11 / 238
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)249 / 249
History coverage132d
Avg bet$212
Trades / day9.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 0 History 249 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$13
14 days−$24
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $259 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $294 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $371 $0 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $211 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $62 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $62 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 11 $559 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $622 −$2 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $343 −$1 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $231 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $303 −$1 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $63 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $265 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 09 $219 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $309 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 09 $349 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $561 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $185 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $278 −$1 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $295 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $218 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $130 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $207 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 06 $467 −$1 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 05 $244 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 05 $454 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $574 −$1 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $153 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $133 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $184 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $437 −$1 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $535 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 03 $67 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $284 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $290 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $149 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 01 $329 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $592 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $506 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? May 30 $466 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? May 30 $675 −$2 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $143 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $148 $0 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? May 29 $150 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $70 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $458 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? May 27 $332 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 26 $173 $0 -0%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 26 $72 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 24 $246 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$36
sports 24% −$21
politics 8% −$11
culture 7% −$7
economics 5% −$4
crypto 4% −$5
world 3% −$4
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $62 1h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $62 3h
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $62 4h
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $62 5h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $62 7h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $62 9h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $62 10h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $62 11h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $62 14h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $62 16h
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $62 17h
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 97¢ $62 19h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $62 27h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $62 29h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $62 30h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $62 32h
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $62 34h
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $63 36h
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $63 2d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $63 2d
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $63 2d
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $63 2d
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $63 2d
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $63 2d
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $63 3d
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $63 3d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $63 3d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $63 3d
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $63 3d
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $63 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 62 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 181 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 249 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1304 history records