Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:28:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
85 0x85d5…3d1f crypto 231 markets active 2h ago coverage 19d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$95 (-15%) realized −$95 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate47%109W / 122L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day12.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$19
14 days−$63
30 days−$102
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$102
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-21.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 -5.7% -14.7% 50% 50% -18.4%
≤30d 231 -13.1% -21.4% 47% 47% -24.7%
≤90d 231 -13.1% -21.4% 47% 47% -24.7%
all 231 -13.1% -21.4% 47% 47% -24.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.4% 47% -24.7%
10% -28.9% 45% -31.9%
15% -35.8% 43% -38.5%
20% -42.1% 41% -44.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -17% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -17% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -19% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.75 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$95
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses109 / 122
Open positions0
Markets (closed)231 / 231
History coverage19d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day12.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 231 Trades
no open positions (121 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$4 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$3 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$4 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$3 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$5 +129%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 353 history records