Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:29:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x85c0…9231
crypto · 342 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,549 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,549 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,549
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses158 / 228
Open positions0
Markets (closed)386 / 342
History coverage28d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day118.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 386 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,301
7 days−$2,435
14 days−$2,950
30 days−$2,549
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $151 $0 −$151 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $278 $0 −$278 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $186 $0 −$186 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $278 −$278 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $108 −$108 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$26 -7418%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $187 −$187 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$48 -9899%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $194 −$194 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $146 −$146 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $143 −$143 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $143 +$75 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $119 −$119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$12 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$6 +1332%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $55 −$54 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $138 −$135 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$324
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 130 -23.3% -30.6% 32% 29% -60.1%
≤30d 386 -7.7% -16.5% 41% 38% -23.3%
≤90d 386 -7.7% -16.5% 41% 38% -23.3%
all 386 -7.7% -16.5% 41% 38% -23.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover118.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 38% -23.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.5% 36% -30.6%
15% -31.8% 34% -37.3%
20% -38.5% 27% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records