Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:51:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x85bc…a12a
crypto · 88 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$70 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$352 · open −$63
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,167
Realized+$352
Unrealized−$63
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses53 / 32
Whale WR (big bets)91%
Est. fees paid−$56
Open positions3
Markets (closed)85 / 88
History coverage2d
Avg bet$220
Trades / day273.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 3 History 85 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$352
7 days+$352
14 days+$352
30 days+$352
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $500 $497 −$3 (-1%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5) Chicago White Sox 71¢ 64¢ $500 $447 −$53 (-11%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 46¢ 44¢ $230 $223 −$8 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $124 $0 −$124 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $128 $0 −$128 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $117 $0 −$117 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $124 $0 −$124 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $197 $0 −$197 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $152 $0 −$152 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $320 $0 −$320 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $203 $0 −$203 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $135 +$61 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $206 +$136 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $104 −$100 -96%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $503 +$143 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $104 +$122 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$51 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $205 +$72 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $205 +$110 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $101 −$98 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$16 +14%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $505 +$115 +23%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $971 +$252 +26%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $998 +$161 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $191 +$109 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $152 −$152 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $515 −$391 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $151 +$49 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $245 +$55 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $72 −$67 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $203 +$53 +26%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $510 +$139 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $129 +$71 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $91 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $82 +$18 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $134 −$100 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $603 +$220 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $226 +$74 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$59 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $160 +$40 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $81 −$77 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $203 +$196 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $197 −$192 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $231 −$209 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $139 +$57 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $115 −$106 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $55 +$45 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $114 −$109 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $139 +$61 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $211 +$89 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $138 +$62 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $122 −$117 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $176 +$47 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $135 −$111 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $144 +$56 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$20 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$50 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $135 +$40 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $103 −$100 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 57% −$802
sports 30% +$628
other 13% +$463
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $130 11m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 46¢ $234 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $206 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $104 22m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 80¢ $491 32m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 23¢ $142 42m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 100¢ $646 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $104 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $53 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $243 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $205 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $503 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $205 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $62 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $25 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 -8.9% -17.6% 62% 61% -7.7%
≤30d 85 -8.9% -17.6% 62% 61% -7.7%
≤90d 85 -8.9% -17.6% 62% 61% -7.7%
all 85 -8.9% -17.6% 62% 61% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover273.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.6% 61% -7.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.5% 53% -16.5%
15% -32.7% 32% -24.6%
20% -39.3% 16% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,166.60 · official $1,166.60 (match) · 457 history records