Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x85a0…3765
crypto · 1946 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$5 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses1274 / 652
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1926 / 1946
History coverage37d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day71.1
Drawdown99%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1926 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$557
7 days−$552
14 days−$329
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will XRP dip to $1.40 on May 17? No 96¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$632
weather 1% −$2
other 1% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 341 -29.5% -36.2% 50% 46% -41.3%
≤30d 1566 +0.9% -8.7% 65% 62% -9.9%
≤90d 1926 +1.2% -8.4% 66% 59% -9.5%
all 1926 +1.2% -8.4% 66% 59% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover71.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.4% 59% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.2% 54% -18.1%
15% -25.2% 45% -26.1%
20% -32.5% 32% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records