trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Under | 74¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Jun 12 | $93 | −$4 | -4% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June? | Jun 12 | $13 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 12 | $49 | $0 | -1% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$3 | -15% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $28 | −$2 | -8% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $50 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? | Jun 12 | $42 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? | Jun 11 | $25 | −$1 | -5% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -25.2% | -32.3% | 11% | 0% | -27.8% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -25.2% | -32.3% | 11% | 0% | -27.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -25.2% | -32.3% | 11% | 0% | -27.8% |
| all | 9 | -25.2% | -32.3% | 11% | 0% | -27.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -32.3% | 0% | -27.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -38.8% | 0% | -34.7% |
| 15% | -44.7% | 0% | -41.0% |
| 20% | -50.1% | 0% | -46.8% |