trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +226.5% | +195.4% | 50% | 50% | -0.3% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +37.7% | +24.5% | 58% | 8% | -3.9% |
| all | 12 | +37.7% | +24.5% | 58% | 8% | -3.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +24.5% | 8% | -3.9% |
| 10% | +12.6% | 8% | -13.1% |
| 15% | +1.7% | 8% | -21.5% |
| 20% | -8.2% | 8% | -29.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Yes | 43¢ | 50¢ | $1,300 | $1,489 | +$189 (+15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Jun 07 | $359 | −$10 | -3% |
| Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Co | May 31 | $10 | +$47 | +456% |
| Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Apr 19 | $32 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Apr 17 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Colleen Hardwick win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Apr 17 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Apr 17 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Apr 17 | $41 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Sean Orr win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Apr 16 | $14 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Amanda Burrows win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Apr 15 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Fred Harding win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Apr 15 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Kirk LaPointe win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Apr 15 | $39 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Tim Louis win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Apr 13 | $9 | $0 | +0% |