Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:42:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x8592…d955
crypto · 43 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$69 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$69 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$69
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses24 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)43 / 43
History coverage1d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day175.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 43 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$69
7 days−$69
14 days−$69
30 days−$69
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$40 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$8 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$16 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $37 +$7 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$4 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$12 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +71%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $78 −$47 -60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$10 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$22 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $77 +$18 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$4 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $67 −$10 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$28 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$26 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$9 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $51 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$15 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$69
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $7 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $38 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $40 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $7 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $9 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 47m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -6.6% -15.5% 56% 44% -15.3%
≤30d 43 -6.6% -15.5% 56% 44% -15.3%
≤90d 43 -6.6% -15.5% 56% 44% -15.3%
all 43 -6.6% -15.5% 56% 44% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover175.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 44% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 33% -23.4%
15% -31.0% 26% -30.8%
20% -37.8% 14% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 194 history records