Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x8589…e2de
crypto · 240 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$813 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$797 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,435
Realized−$797
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses129 / 144
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)273 / 240
History coverage1d
Avg bet$104
Trades / day2602.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 273 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$796
7 days−$796
14 days−$796
30 days−$796
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $442 $813 +$371 (+84%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 39¢ 100¢ $222 $571 +$348 (+157%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 27¢ 20¢ $67 $50 −$17 (-25%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+117%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $547 −$547 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $198 −$198 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$96 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $434 −$113 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$16 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$13 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $178 −$113 -63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $105 +$31 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $207 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$41 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $116 +$62 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $186 +$58 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$19 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$11 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $128 +$22 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $144 −$48 -33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$527
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $23 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $18 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $16 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $12 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $86 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $10 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 273 -7.1% -15.9% 47% 37% -12.3%
≤30d 273 -7.1% -15.9% 47% 37% -12.3%
≤90d 273 -7.1% -15.9% 47% 37% -12.3%
all 273 -7.1% -15.9% 47% 37% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2602.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 37% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 29% -20.7%
15% -31.3% 18% -28.3%
20% -38.1% 12% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,434.58 · official $1,447.63 (match) · 3500 history records