Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:02:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
85 0x8581…1aee crypto 282 markets active 5d ago coverage 82d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$25 (-2%) realized −$25 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate95%268W / 14L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day3.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit89%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$5
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 80% +$2
other 11% −$12
finance 5% −$9
tech 4% −$3
sports 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +2.9% -6.9% 100% 0% -7.0%
≤30d 58 +0.7% -8.9% 98% 0% -9.0%
≤90d 282 -2.5% -11.8% 95% 1% -11.3%
all 282 -2.5% -11.8% 95% 1% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.8% 1% -11.3%
10% -20.2% 0% -19.8%
15% -27.9% 0% -27.5%
20% -35.0% 0% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$4 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.55 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

82d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses268 / 14
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)282 / 282
History coverage82d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 282 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 9? Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 5d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 5d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 6d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 10? BUY No 99¢ $5 6d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 563 history records