Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x8577…95d3
crypto · 1352 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$354 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$354 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$354
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses691 / 661
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1352 / 1352
History coverage28d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day55.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1352 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$61
7 days−$123
14 days−$183
30 days−$354
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$3 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$2 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$335
other 0% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $6 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $6 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 542 -9.1% -17.8% 50% 44% -15.0%
≤30d 1352 -7.6% -16.4% 51% 49% -15.6%
≤90d 1352 -7.6% -16.4% 51% 49% -15.6%
all 1352 -7.6% -16.4% 51% 49% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 49% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 47% -23.7%
15% -31.7% 44% -31.1%
20% -38.4% 41% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records