Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:02:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x8561…ce01
crypto · 2062 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$1,906 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,906 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,906
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses830 / 766
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1596 / 2062
History coverage29d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day90.9
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1596 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,061
7 days−$423
14 days+$1,459
30 days+$1,906
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 45¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+122%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,084
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $21 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 459 -25.2% -32.3% 31% 31% -26.5%
≤30d 1596 +21.1% +9.6% 52% 52% +10.5%
≤90d 1596 +21.1% +9.6% 52% 52% +10.5%
all 1596 +21.1% +9.6% 52% 52% +10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover90.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +9.6% 52% +10.5%
10% ← realistic here -0.9% 52% -0.0%
15% -10.5% 52% -9.7%
20% -19.2% 52% -18.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.39 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records