trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -24.0% | -31.2% | 50% | 50% | +7.7% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +6.8% | -3.4% | 67% | 67% | +40.5% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -17.7% | -25.6% | 50% | 50% | +28.7% |
| all | 14 | +10.3% | -0.2% | 57% | 50% | +9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.2% | 50% | +9.6% |
| 10% | -9.7% | 43% | -0.9% |
| 15% | -18.5% | 36% | -10.5% |
| 20% | -26.5% | 36% | -19.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $12 | $7 | −$5 (-43%) |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $70 | $1 | −$70 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $25 | +$13 | +52% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 07 | $90 | +$62 | +68% |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | Apr 20 | $12 | −$11 | -91% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | Mar 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Mar 08 | $110 | −$9 | -8% |
| Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026? | Mar 01 | $157 | −$55 | -35% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Mar 01 | $53 | +$53 | +100% |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | Feb 28 | $118 | +$34 | +29% |
| Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)? | Feb 28 | $105 | +$13 | +12% |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Feb 28 | $50 | +$75 | +151% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? | Jan 01 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? | Oct 11 | $14 | +$19 | +133% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | Sep 29 | $30 | −$21 | -71% |