Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:29:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

85
0x8546…35b8
sports · 82 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$2,720 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,751 · open −$30
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$495
Realized+$2,751
Unrealized−$30
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses64 / 17
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Est. fees paid−$951
Open positions1
Markets (closed)81 / 82
History coverage15d
Avg bet$984
Trades / day49.1
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 81 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days+$613
14 days+$2,652
30 days+$2,751
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Carolina Alves Carolina Alves 91¢ 86¢ $525 $495 −$30 (-6%)
AA Ponte Preta vs. Botafogo FC: O/U 0.5 Over 31¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Modena: Noma Noha Akugue vs Katarzyna Kawa Noma Noha Akugue 10¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera Jun 13 $22 −$6 -26%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $569 −$165 -29%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $90 −$16 -18%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $293 +$1 +0%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 13 $1,895 +$74 +4%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $900 +$17 +2%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $2 $0 -10%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $1,007 +$82 +8%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $2,001 +$7 +0%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1,304 +$10 +1%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 11 $4,648 +$270 +6%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 11 $325 +$19 +6%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $3,001 +$91 +3%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $3,353 +$408 +12%
ITF Guimaraes: Manon Leonard vs Ana Sofia Sanchez Jun 11 $94 +$26 +28%
ITF Decatur: Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers Jun 11 $418 +$31 +7%
ITF Cuiaba: Josefina Estevez vs Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca Jun 11 $284 −$6 -2%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $3,163 +$67 +2%
ITF Cuiaba: Sofia Cohen Perovani vs Rebeca Pereira Jun 10 $9 −$2 -18%
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Jun 10 $92 +$1 +1%
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Jun 10 $5,578 −$1,516 -27%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 10 $2,201 +$82 +4%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $2,074 +$256 +12%
Tucuman: Nicolas Villalon vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Jun 10 $429 +$16 +4%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $2,014 +$179 +9%
Modena: Noma Noha Akugue vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 10 $134 $0 -0%
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Jun 10 $1,738 +$40 +2%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $92 −$3 -4%
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Jun 09 $917 +$88 +10%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $634 +$315 +50%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 09 $2,072 +$21 +1%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Pavel Kotov Jun 09 $33 +$1 +2%
ITF Zagreb: Tessa Johanna Brockmann vs Elina Avanesyan Jun 09 $1,603 +$135 +8%
Bratislava: Martin Krumich vs Maxim Mrva Jun 09 $38 $0 +1%
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $2,306 +$88 +4%
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $3 $0 +6%
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $45 +$5 +11%
Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $2 +$7 +442%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 08 $1,000 +$11 +1%
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lisa Pigato Jun 08 $4,486 +$321 +7%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $2,060 −$291 -14%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $53 −$4 -7%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $203 +$11 +5%
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) Jun 07 $402 +$9 +2%
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, M Jun 07 $99 +$21 +21%
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Jun 07 $100 +$43 +43%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $471 −$70 -15%
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, P Jun 06 $403 +$6 +2%
UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, P Jun 06 $99 −$70 -71%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% +$2,858
other 11% −$138
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Carolina Alves BUY Carolina Alves 91¢ $251 8m
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Carolina Alves BUY Carolina Alves 91¢ $251 8m
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Carolina Alves BUY Carolina Alves 85¢ $26 9m
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera SELL Antonia Rivera 40¢ $16 15m
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera BUY Antonia Rivera 54¢ $22 21m
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson SELL Lucia Bronzetti 32¢ $5 1h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 37¢ $6 1h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson SELL Lucia Bronzetti 34¢ $18 1h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 36¢ $6 1h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 36¢ $6 1h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 36¢ $3 1h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 36¢ $2 1h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 36¢ $3 1h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson SELL Lucia Bronzetti 34¢ $275 1h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson SELL Lucia Bronzetti 34¢ $2 1h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson SELL Lucia Bronzetti 31¢ $3 1h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson SELL Lucia Bronzetti 31¢ $9 1h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson SELL Lucia Bronzetti 31¢ $78 1h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson SELL Lucia Bronzetti 52¢ $13 1h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 47¢ $4 2h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 47¢ $4 2h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 47¢ $139 2h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 47¢ $103 2h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 47¢ $266 2h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 46¢ $23 2h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 44¢ $3 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 11¢ $41 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 13¢ $50 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 16¢ $33 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee SELL Lanlana Tararudee 45¢ $294 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-2.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 +7.8% -2.5% 74% 16% -8.5%
≤30d 81 +8.3% -2.0% 79% 21% -6.4%
≤90d 81 +8.3% -2.0% 79% 21% -6.4%
all 81 +8.3% -2.0% 79% 21% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.0% 21% -6.4%
10% -11.4% 9% -15.4%
15% ← realistic here -20.0% 7% -23.5%
20% -27.8% 4% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $495.42 · official $495.42 (match) · 802 history records