Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T12:17:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
85 0x8535…f4c9 crypto 1038 markets active 1h ago coverage 13d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (193 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$121 (-5%) realized −$121 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate63%654W / 384L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day193.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$13
14 days−$167
30 days−$167
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$209
other 4% +$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (193 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 414 -2.2% -11.5% 61% 2% -8.3%
≤30d 1038 -3.7% -12.9% 63% 2% -16.3%
≤90d 1038 -3.7% -12.9% 63% 2% -16.3%
all 1038 -3.7% -12.9% 63% 2% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover193.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 2% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 1% -24.3%
15% -28.8% 1% -31.6%
20% -35.8% 0% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 45% · top 2 50% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.21 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.36 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$121
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses654 / 384
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1038 / 1038
History coverage13d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day193.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1038 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $3 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2479 history records