trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +48.2% | +34.1% | 50% | 50% | +16.9% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +30.2% | +17.8% | 43% | 43% | +2.8% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +34.8% | +22.0% | 47% | 47% | +11.1% |
| all | 21 | +22.4% | +10.7% | 43% | 43% | +6.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +10.7% | 43% | +6.3% |
| 10% | +0.1% | 43% | -3.8% |
| 15% | -9.6% | 43% | -13.1% |
| 20% | -18.4% | 43% | -21.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $100 | $147 | +$47 (+47%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $100 | $80 | −$20 (-20%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 8¢ | $100 | $78 | −$22 (-22%) |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $25 | −$75 (-75%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 16¢ | 1¢ | $25 | $1 | −$24 (-96%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $26 | +$27 | +103% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $203 | +$262 | +129% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $203 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $229 | +$120 | +52% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $31 | −$30 | -96% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $51 | +$243 | +474% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $102 | +$168 | +165% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 14 | $172 | −$170 | -99% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $256 | −$11 | -4% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $66 | −$65 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $67 | −$65 | -98% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $102 | +$159 | +156% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $145 | −$143 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $103 | −$57 | -55% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | Apr 02 | $211 | +$209 | +99% |
| Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? | Mar 11 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? | Mar 08 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | Mar 07 | $60 | −$18 | -30% |
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | Mar 07 | $105 | $0 | -0% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Mar 07 | $75 | +$89 | +119% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Feb 28 | $10 | +$6 | +59% |