trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +173.4% | +147.3% | 43% | 43% | +164.6% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +157.6% | +133.1% | 50% | 50% | +108.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +157.6% | +133.0% | 56% | 56% | +113.1% |
| all | 23 | +89.5% | +71.4% | 48% | 48% | +40.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +71.4% | 48% | +40.1% |
| 10% | +55.0% | 48% | +26.7% |
| 15% | +40.1% | 43% | +14.4% |
| 20% | +26.3% | 39% | +3.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | No | 11¢ | 12¢ | $11 | $12 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | No | 15¢ | 16¢ | $11 | $11 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? | No | 22¢ | 22¢ | $11 | $11 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 20¢ | 26¢ | $8 | $10 | +$2 (+28%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | No | 19¢ | 18¢ | $11 | $10 | −$1 (-8%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | No | 26¢ | 24¢ | $11 | $10 | −$1 (-10%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | No | 22¢ | 20¢ | $11 | $10 | −$1 (-11%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | No | 21¢ | 18¢ | $11 | $10 | −$1 (-12%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-27? | No | 24¢ | 20¢ | $11 | $9 | −$2 (-15%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | No | 12¢ | 10¢ | $11 | $9 | −$2 (-21%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | No | 26¢ | 18¢ | $11 | $7 | −$4 (-33%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $11 | +$59 | +521% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $11 | +$35 | +307% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 16 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $11 | +$89 | +785% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $7 | −$7 | -97% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 14 | $11 | −$11 | -97% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO da | Jun 13 | $55 | +$26 | +47% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | May 20 | $30 | +$47 | +157% |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Feb 11 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Jan 21 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | Jan 21 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Jan 03 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on I | Dec 13 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | Nov 04 | $7 | +$2 | +35% |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jul 24 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking? | Jul 24 | $7 | +$12 | +178% |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$27 | +274% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Jan 21 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi | Jan 21 | $4 | +$8 | +212% |
| Will Kamala Harris be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Jul 25 | $4 | +$9 | +232% |
| Will Keir Starmer be next UK prime minister? | Jul 10 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? | May 20 | $3 | +$15 | +509% |