trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -6.1% | -15.0% | 55% | 55% | -4.7% |
| ≤30d | 30 | +7.7% | -2.5% | 63% | 63% | +7.4% |
| ≤90d | 30 | +7.7% | -2.5% | 63% | 63% | +7.4% |
| all | 30 | +7.7% | -2.5% | 63% | 63% | +7.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.5% | 63% | +7.4% |
| 10% | -11.8% | 57% | -2.9% |
| 15% | -20.4% | 57% | -12.3% |
| 20% | -28.2% | 40% | -20.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $375 | $375 | +$1 (+0%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 24¢ | 20¢ | $375 | $322 | −$53 (-14%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $114 | $113 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $318 | +$57 | +18% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $182 | −$180 | -99% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $160 | −$160 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $311 | +$290 | +93% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $51 | +$25 | +50% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $25 | +$44 | +172% |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $205 | +$107 | +52% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $57 | −$56 | -99% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $50 | +$24 | +48% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $71 | +$37 | +52% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $25 | +$16 | +62% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $127 | +$133 | +105% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $61 | −$60 | -99% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $51 | +$37 | +73% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $232 | +$116 | +50% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $76 | −$75 | -99% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $101 | +$87 | +86% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $237 | +$135 | +57% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $75 | −$75 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $114 | +$125 | +109% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $25 | +$39 | +152% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $70 | +$30 | +44% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | Jun 11 | $51 | +$28 | +55% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | Jun 11 | $51 | +$8 | +17% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | Jun 11 | $16 | −$15 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +38% |