trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -45.5% | -50.7% | 0% | 0% | -50.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -45.5% | -50.7% | 0% | 0% | -50.7% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -4.8% | -13.8% | 56% | 33% | -9.9% |
| all | 13 | -10.6% | -19.1% | 54% | 23% | -12.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.1% | 23% | -12.8% |
| 10% | -26.9% | 15% | -21.1% |
| 15% | -33.9% | 15% | -28.8% |
| 20% | -40.4% | 8% | -35.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 21¢ | $75 | $170 | +$95 (+126%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 23¢ | $113 | $146 | +$33 (+30%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $154 | −$46 | -30% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $154 | −$94 | -61% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 26 | $854 | −$426 | -50% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 25 | $922 | +$458 | +50% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 24 | $608 | +$24 | +4% |
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore | Apr 10 | $754 | +$12 | +2% |
| Hornets vs. Celtics | Apr 08 | $207 | +$126 | +61% |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) | Apr 05 | $304 | −$116 | -38% |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Apr 04 | $224 | +$45 | +20% |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 29 | $210 | −$210 | -100% |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | Mar 29 | $231 | −$10 | -4% |
| Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones | Mar 22 | $485 | +$28 | +6% |
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers | Mar 22 | $361 | +$11 | +3% |