trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 21¢ | 81¢ | $26,495 | $103,491 | +$76,996 (+291%) |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 31¢ | 19¢ | $2,239 | $1,391 | −$848 (-38%) |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Yes | 47¢ | 49¢ | $1,201 | $1,269 | +$68 (+6%) |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 85¢ | 81¢ | $120 | $115 | −$6 (-5%) |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $95 | $102 | +$8 (+8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | Jun 11 | $42,199 | +$37,801 | +90% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $96,600 | +$83,400 | +86% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins | Jun 10 | $17,100 | +$12,900 | +75% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $89,918 | +$108,332 | +120% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 08 | $60,367 | −$60,367 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 08 | $4,152 | +$4,321 | +104% |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Jun 08 | $16,693 | +$34,224 | +205% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 05 | $104,134 | +$70,687 | +68% |
| Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs | Jun 05 | $2,004 | −$2,004 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 05 | $58,025 | +$1,975 | +3% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Jun 05 | $39,000 | +$21,000 | +54% |
| Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | Jun 04 | $3 | +$2 | +90% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 31 | $8,928 | −$8,928 | -100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $57,254 | −$57,254 | -100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 31 | $4,470 | −$4,470 | -100% |
| Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets | May 31 | $1,190 | −$1,190 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $38,500 | −$38,500 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | May 29 | $14,352 | −$14,352 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $19,869 | −$19,869 | -100% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles | May 28 | $15,600 | −$15,600 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) | May 27 | $645 | +$713 | +110% |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | May 27 | $24,817 | +$23,023 | +93% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $135,567 | +$73,018 | +54% |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | May 26 | $296 | +$327 | +111% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $38,104 | +$24,189 | +64% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels | May 25 | $12,000 | +$11,077 | +92% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson? | May 25 | $75 | +$37 | +49% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $1,029 | −$1,029 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | May 23 | $31,050 | −$31,050 | -100% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | May 22 | $5,189 | −$5,189 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | May 22 | $8,126 | −$7,816 | -96% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $41,819 | +$21,685 | +52% |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees | May 22 | $151 | −$151 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) | May 21 | $14,606 | +$14,606 | +100% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $142,579 | +$66,400 | +47% |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | May 21 | $4,194 | +$3,449 | +82% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $52,677 | −$40,095 | -76% |
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship? | May 18 | $14,486 | +$924 | +6% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? | May 18 | $4,579 | +$508 | +11% |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship? | May 18 | $5,597 | +$304 | +5% |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship? | May 18 | $19,000 | +$1,000 | +5% |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship? | May 18 | $18,450 | +$1,550 | +8% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship? | May 18 | $26,230 | +$5,312 | +20% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $10,039 | +$5,130 | +51% |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | May 14 | $245 | +$276 | +113% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | May 14 | $27,200 | +$12,800 | +47% |
| Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds | May 14 | $1,772 | +$3,017 | +170% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 13 | $15,346 | −$13,253 | -86% |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) | May 13 | $56,675 | −$56,675 | -100% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $19,598 | +$792 | +4% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY Yes | 18¢ | $97 | 14h |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | BUY Spurs | 52¢ | $42,199 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $6 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $4,819 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $4 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $59 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $58 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $279 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $235 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $117 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $6 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $30 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $23 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $6 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $293 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $220 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $1 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $178 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $3 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $9 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $1,080 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $3 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $97 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $29 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $1,761 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $52 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $27 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $18 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $28 | 31h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 54¢ | $1,174 | 31h |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +83.0% | +65.6% | 86% | 86% | +51.5% |
| ≤30d | 49 | +8.7% | -1.6% | 63% | 53% | +7.6% |
| ≤90d | 62 | +19.0% | +7.7% | 66% | 55% | +8.1% |
| all | 62 | +19.0% | +7.7% | 66% | 55% | +8.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +7.7% | 55% | +8.1% |
| 10% | -2.6% | 50% | -2.2% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -12.0% | 48% | -11.7% |
| 20% | -20.7% | 44% | -20.3% |