Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:52:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

84
0x84cf…2f63
sports · 395 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$64,675 +44%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,723 · open −$86,075
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,192,230
Realized+$6,723
Unrealized−$86,075
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses59 / 8
Est. fees paid−$541
Open positions496
Markets (closed)67 / 395
History coverage1d
Avg bet$371
Trades / day3156.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 496 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6,723
7 days+$6,723
14 days+$6,723
30 days+$6,723
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $252,056 $251,588 −$468 (-0%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 37¢ 36¢ $160,051 $154,472 −$5,580 (-3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $86,218 $82,878 −$3,340 (-4%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 29¢ 19¢ $92,589 $60,354 −$32,236 (-35%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $56,789 $59,897 +$3,108 (+5%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $38,561 $40,390 +$1,829 (+5%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $29,014 $28,914 −$100 (-0%)
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? No 97¢ 97¢ $27,167 $27,281 +$114 (+0%)
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 54¢ 56¢ $19,512 $20,451 +$939 (+5%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? No 66¢ 66¢ $19,319 $19,208 −$111 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $18,727 $18,717 −$10 (-0%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $15,739 $15,614 −$125 (-1%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $13,566 $14,432 +$866 (+6%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $11,835 $11,900 +$65 (+1%)
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 20¢ 18¢ $11,484 $10,704 −$781 (-7%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10,890 $10,437 −$454 (-4%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 53¢ 60¢ $8,331 $9,431 +$1,100 (+13%)
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 50¢ 56¢ $8,092 $9,056 +$964 (+12%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? No 73¢ 72¢ $8,659 $8,600 −$59 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $7,839 $7,803 −$36 (-0%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 20¢ 18¢ $8,952 $7,711 −$1,241 (-14%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $6,917 $7,038 +$121 (+2%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Yes 50¢ 48¢ $6,923 $6,683 −$240 (-3%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Over 62¢ 60¢ $6,857 $6,581 −$276 (-4%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $6,613 $6,577 −$36 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $100 +$10 +10%
Spain leading at halftime? Jun 12 $6 +$6 +94%
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $6 +$7 +122%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $134 +$106 +79%
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 +$14 +365%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? Jun 12 $6 +$14 +249%
Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? Jun 12 $32 −$3 -9%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Neither team to score first? Jun 12 $0 +$80 +18139%
Paraguay to win the second half? Jun 12 $39 −$1 -2%
Paraguay to score first vs. United States? Jun 12 $42 −$2 -4%
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? Jun 12 $48 +$45 +93%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Neither team to score first? Jun 12 $54 +$3 +5%
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? Jun 12 $46 +$44 +96%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $94 +$1 +1%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) Jun 12 $92 +$9 +10%
Will New York Mets win the 2026 National League Championship Series? Jun 12 $1 +$62 +10942%
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $70 +$70 +99%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 12 $79 +$56 +71%
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $96 +$12 +12%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? Jun 12 $101 +$33 +32%
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? Jun 12 $90 +$23 +25%
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? Jun 12 $106 +$9 +9%
Spread: Spurs (-14.5) Jun 12 $99 +$18 +18%
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 12 $99 +$21 +21%
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series Jun 12 $106 +$16 +15%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $119 +$8 +6%
Will Netherlands win the World Cup? Jun 12 $137 −$7 -5%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Paraguay? Jun 12 $133 +$1 +0%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? Jun 12 $117 +$18 +16%
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $137 −$1 -1%
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) Jun 12 $104 +$33 +32%
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 12 $113 +$27 +24%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $137 +$25 +18%
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Jun 12 $164 −$2 -1%
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 12 $116 +$24 +21%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 12 $71 +$69 +97%
Spread: Knicks (-8.5) Jun 12 $125 +$15 +12%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $115 +$31 +27%
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? Jun 12 $139 +$10 +7%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? Jun 12 $77 +$90 +116%
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $40 +$134 +334%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $92 +$92 +100%
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Jun 12 $114 +$73 +64%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 Jun 12 $94 +$94 +100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 12 $153 +$39 +26%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? Jun 12 $125 +$76 +61%
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? Jun 12 $186 +$43 +23%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $187 +$46 +25%
Spread: Knicks (-3.5) Jun 12 $175 +$61 +35%
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Jun 12 $150 +$153 +102%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 93% −$82,106
sports 6% +$1,559
crypto 0% +$231
politics 0% +$964
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY United States 8¢ $25 0m
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? BUY Yes 29¢ $2 0m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $79 0m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $50 0m
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $7 0m
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $8 0m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $4 0m
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 0m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $5 0m
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 21¢ $34 0m
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $8 0m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $61 1m
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 1m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 20¢ $48 1m
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 1m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 20¢ $25 1m
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 BUY Over 60¢ $43 1m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $100 1m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $20 1m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $10 1m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 83¢ $63 1m
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) BUY Atlanta Braves 36¢ $2 1m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 22¢ $3 1m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $6 1m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $44 1m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $42 1m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $10 1m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 54¢ $5 2m
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $15 2m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 6¢ $16 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +73%
net ROI/market (all)+188.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 +219.3% +188.9% 88% 73% +90.1%
≤30d 67 +219.3% +188.9% 88% 73% +90.1%
≤90d 67 +219.3% +188.9% 88% 73% +90.1%
all 67 +219.3% +188.9% 88% 73% +90.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3156.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +188.9% 73% +90.1%
10% ← realistic here +161.2% 61% +71.9%
15% +136.0% 46% +55.3%
20% +112.8% 46% +40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,192,230.49 · official $1,193,408.10 (match) · 3500 history records